Quarterly Market Commentary June 2026

Welcome to the June 2026 issue of Quarterly Market Commentary

Covering March, April and May 2026

Spring 2026 was marked by volatility, cautious optimism and persistent inflation concerns across global markets. In the UK, inflation eased modestly, with CPI falling from 3.3% in March to 2.8% in April, while the Bank of England kept rates at 3.75%. The FTSE 100 recovered from March’s weakness, supported by defensive sectors and exporters, and later by a rebound in cyclical stocks. Bond markets remained sensitive to energy prices, inflation and fiscal policy, while sentiment improved slightly as consumer confidence and retail-related shares recovered.

In the Eurozone, markets opened on a volatile note as the Middle East conflict and higher oil prices weighed on sentiment, particularly for consumer and software stocks. Inflation rose from 2.5% in March to 3.2% in May, while business activity weakened, keeping the ECB cautious. A strong May rebound lifted cyclical sectors such as industrials and banks, though underlying growth remained fragile.

Investors in the US experienced sharp swings between optimism and concern. Geopolitical tensions, particularly around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, pushed oil prices higher and unsettled markets. Despite a weak first quarter, US equities rebounded strongly in April and May, led by large-cap technology and AI-related stocks. Inflation remained sticky, the Fed kept rates at 3.5% to 3.75%, and consumer confidence stayed weak even as equity markets hit record highs.

Japanese equities rebounded after a March correction, led by AI-related technology shares and banks. The Bank of Japan kept rates unchanged at 0.75% but adopted a more hawkish tone amid persistent inflation concerns.

Across Asia, excluding Japan, and in emerging markets, March sell-offs gave way to strong April recoveries, driven by easing oil prices and sustained AI demand, particularly in Korea and Taiwan. Finally, global bond markets struggled with rising yields as inflation, fiscal concerns and geopolitical risks led investors to demand higher compensation for uncertainty.

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SmartMoney archive:

2026

May June 2026

March April 2026

Quarterly Market Commentary March 2026

January February 2026

Spring Forecast 2026

2025

Quarterly Market Commentary December 2025

Guide to the Autumn Budget Statement 2025

November December 2025

September October 2025

Quarterly Market Commentary September 2025

July August 2025

Quarterly Market Commentary June 2025

May June 2025

March April 2025

Spring Forecast 2025

Quarterly Market Commentary March 2025

January February 2025

2024

Quarterly market commentary December 2024

November December 2024

Quarterly market commentary September 2024

Guide to the Autumn Budget Statement 2024

September October 2024

July August 2024

May June 2024

March April 2024

January February 2024

2023

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September October 2023

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March April 2023

Spring Budget Statement 2023

May June 2023

2022

Guide to the Autumn Budget Statement 2022​

November December 2022

September October 2022

July August 2022

May June 2022

March April 2022

January February 2022

2021

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2020

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Spending Review 2020

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January-February 2020

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